Skip to content
Basis
Standards

Standards & safety · Evidence

65% of home electrical fires start with an arc.

The headline figure is from US National Fire Protection Association data. The same wiring physics applies in New Zealand, and a default NZ switchboard cannot detect them. Here is what an arc fault is, why legacy protection misses it, and what Basis does about it.

The number (US data)

88%heat from powered equipmentShare of US home electrical fires in that NFPA category.
74%arcing inside that categoryShare of those fires attributed to electrical arcing.
≈ 65%of US home electrical fires start with an arc88% × 74%. Derived from NFPA Home Electrical Fires [1].
01

The fault

What an arc fault is.

An arc fault is a sustained electrical discharge across a gap or through degraded insulation, hot enough to ignite the materials around it. Arc temperatures can exceed 6,000 °C, well above the autoignition point of cable sheathing, dust, and framing timber.

  • Series arc.A break or loose connection in line with a load. Current still flows but jumps the gap, often inside a wall, behind an outlet, or at an appliance terminal.
  • Parallel arc.Current jumping between two conductors, or to earth, through damaged insulation. Often caused by a nail, screw, rodent damage, or simple ageing of the cable.

Arcs can persist for weeks or months without tripping conventional protection. They typically announce themselves first as a faint smell, a discoloured outlet, or unexplained flickering. Many do not announce themselves at all.

02

The number

How the 65% figure is derived from US data.

The NFPA Home Electrical Fires research report[1] classifies US home electrical fires by ignition mechanism. Two figures combine to produce the 65% claim.

  • 88%.Share of US home electrical fires that fall in the NFPA category 'heat from powered equipment', the umbrella for fires caused by energised wiring or devices rather than, for example, a candle near a curtain.
  • 74%.Share of fires inside that category attributed to electrical arcing (the rest being thermal overload, friction, and other minor mechanisms).
88% × 74% ≈ 65%. About two thirds of US home electrical fires start with an arc.

The figure is not a Basis statistic. It is a direct derivation from primary NFPA data, presented so any reader can reproduce it from the source.

Why other sources cite a lower number

Schneider Electric and the UK IET [7]commonly cite “around a third” for arc-fault share of electrical fires. The lower figure counts only fires forensically attributed to a specific arc-fault subcategory (typically excluding short circuits and equipment arcing). The 65% derivation here aggregates all arcing inside NFPA's parent “heat from powered equipment” class, which is the population AFDD protection addresses. Both figures describe the same underlying ignition mechanism.

03

The blind spot

Why a default switchboard misses an arc.

A default residential switchboard ships with two protective devices on each circuit. Neither is designed to detect an arc.

  • Miniature circuit breaker (MCB).Trips on sustained overcurrent, typically at multiples of the rated current. A series arc draws less than the rated load. The MCB sees a normal circuit.
  • Residual current device (RCD).Trips on imbalance between line and neutral, i.e. current leaking to earth, at 30 mA in residential. A high resistance parallel arc may leak less than 30 mA, or nothing to earth at all. The RCD sees a balanced circuit.

What distinguishes an arc from a normal load is the shape of the current waveform, not its magnitude. Detecting it requires a different class of protection that watches waveform signatures rather than amplitude or earth-leakage imbalance. That class is the AFDD (section 04).

04

The standard

IEC 62606: the international AFDD standard.

The arc fault detection device, or AFDD, is the international product class designed for this job. IEC 62606[2] specifies how an AFDD must analyse the current waveform, what arc signatures it must recognise, and the maximum trip times at each current level. Any AFDD product claim should reference back to IEC 62606 testing.

AFDDs use signal processing on the live circuit waveform to detect arc signatures, then open the circuit when those signatures persist beyond a defined threshold. The decision is made on waveform shape, not on current magnitude, which is what closes the gap left by the MCB and the RCD.

05

The NZ context

Applying the US 65% to New Zealand.

AS/NZS 3000 [3] (the Wiring Rules every NZ electrician works to) mandates RCD coverage on residential lighting and socket circuits. It does not require AFDD protection. A switchboard installed last week to the current standard contains nothing that catches an arc.

FENZ data on the resulting fire load:

  • 2,378.House fires in New Zealand in 2025. 15 of them fatal [5].
  • 830 of 2,432.Structure fires attributed to electrical causes in 2023, roughly 1 in 3 [4].
Applying the US 65% rate to NZ's 830 electrical structure fires gives roughly 540 NZ structure fires a year ignited by arc faults. NZ has no equivalent NFPA-grade ignition-mechanism breakdown, so this is an applied estimate using the US share, not a direct measurement.

Internationally, the US National Electrical Code (NEC 210.12)[6] has required AFCI (the US equivalent of AFDD) on most residential branch circuits since 2014. The European and UK regimes encourage AFDD use without yet mandating it universally. New Zealand currently sits behind both regimes on this specific protection class.

06

The Basis answer

What Basis does.

AFDD detection is currently in field-validation beta on shipping Basis boards. It is enabled per circuit as the model passes each validation milestone. The MCB, RCD and self-test capabilities described below are active on every board today.

Every Basis circuit module samples its current waveform at more than 10,000 samples per second. The on-device arc-fault model evaluates each circuit against the IEC 62606 arc signatures continuously, cycle by cycle, with no homeowner action required.

  • Per circuit, not per board.Detection runs independently on every circuit. A failure on the oven branch does not blind the lighting branch.
  • Continuous self-test.The board verifies its own protection chain on a schedule, so silent failure of a protective device surfaces in the app rather than at the moment it was supposed to act.
  • Updateable.The arc detection model improves over the field life of the board. Updates ship over the air to every installed unit.